Final Score: Pirates 7 - Padres 4
Wednesday, May 4, 2011 at 6:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
14-16 Rating 1411
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.0
Padres
12-18 Rating 1490
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Padres
All-time wins 236 197
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.5 4.1
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Padres
Games played 30 30
Avg runs scored 3.6 3.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 3.5
Win percentage 47% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 29%