Final Score: Astros 2 - Reds 3
Wednesday, May 4, 2011 at 12:35 PM ET

Astros @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
12-17 Rating 1472
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.5
Reds
14-15 Rating 1495
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Reds
All-time wins 340 346
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.3
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Reds
Games played 29 29
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 5.3 4.8
Win percentage 41% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 47%