Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Orioles 5
Sunday, October 4, 2009 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
75-86 Rating 1504
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.4
Orioles
63-98 Rating 1434
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Orioles
All-time wins 248 221
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.4
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Orioles
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 5.4
Win percentage 47% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 48%