Final Score: Blue Jays 8 - Red Sox 7
Tuesday, September 29, 2009 at 7:10 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
73-84 Rating 1503
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Red Sox
91-65 Rating 1572
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
All-time wins 206 259
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.6 5.0
Last meeting 11 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Red Sox
Games played 157 156
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 46% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 69%