Final Score: Nationals 2 - Braves 1
Sunday, October 4, 2009 at 1:30 PM ET

Nationals @ Braves

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
58-103 Rating 1411
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Atlanta Braves +1.3
Braves
86-75 Rating 1505
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Braves
All-time wins 257 289
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Braves
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.6
Avg runs conceded 5.4 4.0
Win percentage 36% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 50%