Final Score: Marlins 6 - Phillies 4
Saturday, August 8, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
56-53 Rating 1500
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
61-46 Rating 1551
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 120 139
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 5.3
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 109 107
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.3
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 51% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 52%