Final Score: Phillies 4 - Diamondbacks 3
Tuesday, July 28, 2009 at 9:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
57-40 Rating 1558
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Diamondbacks
43-57 Rating 1469
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 38 42
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.7
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 97 100
Avg runs scored 5.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.8
Win percentage 59% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 42%