Final Score: Marlins 8 - Nationals 12
Thursday, August 6, 2009 at 12:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
55-52 Rating 1500
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.7
Nationals
36-72 Rating 1405
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 142 113
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 107 108
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.5
Win percentage 51% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 40%