Final Score: Nationals 4 - Pirates 5
Friday, July 31, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
32-70 Rating 1399
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Pirates +0.6
Pirates
43-58 Rating 1432
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Pirates
All-time wins 264 294
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 3.9 4.3
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Pirates
Games played 102 101
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.4
Win percentage 31% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 24% 58%