Final Score: Cardinals 4 - Nationals 1
Thursday, July 23, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Cardinals @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
51-46 Rating 1505
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.9
Nationals
28-66 Rating 1396
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Nationals
All-time wins 283 274
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.1 3.9
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Nationals
Games played 97 94
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 5.6
Win percentage 53% 30%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 37%