Final Score: Marlins 4 - Nationals 6
Tuesday, August 4, 2009 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
55-50 Rating 1505
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.8
Nationals
34-72 Rating 1400
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 142 111
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 105 106
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.5
Win percentage 52% 32%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 38%