Final Score: Red Sox 2 - Blue Jays 6
Saturday, July 18, 2009 at 1:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
55-34 Rating 1580
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Blue Jays
44-47 Rating 1512
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 253 203
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.6
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 89 91
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 62% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 57%