Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Blue Jays 1
Friday, July 17, 2009 at 7:07 PM ET

Red Sox @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
54-34 Rating 1578
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Blue Jays
44-46 Rating 1514
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
All-time wins 252 203
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.7
Last meeting 8 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Blue Jays
Games played 88 90
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 61% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 58%