Final Score: Blue Jays 5 - Yankees 6
Saturday, July 4, 2009 at 1:05 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
42-39 Rating 1523
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.7
Yankees
46-33 Rating 1563
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Yankees
All-time wins 200 250
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.8
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Yankees
Games played 81 79
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.8
Win percentage 52% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 62%