Final Score: Reds 5 - Blue Jays 7
Tuesday, June 23, 2009 at 7:07 PM ET

Reds @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
34-34 Rating 1472
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.8
Blue Jays
38-33 Rating 1528
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Blue Jays
All-time wins 2 4
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.2 8.0
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Blue Jays
Games played 68 71
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.5
Win percentage 50% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 62%