Final Score: Nationals 6 - Mets 5
Saturday, July 28, 2007 at 7:10 PM ET

Nationals @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
44-59 Rating 1461
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: New York Mets +1.1
Mets
58-45 Rating 1542
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Mets
All-time wins 315 326
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Mets
Games played 103 103
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 43% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 57%