Final Score: Astros 6 - Nationals 7
Wednesday, July 18, 2007 at 1:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
40-54 Rating 1486
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Nationals
38-55 Rating 1455
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 227 178
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 3.8
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 94 93
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.0
Win percentage 43% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 42%