Final Score: Mets 3 - Astros 8
Sunday, July 8, 2007 at 2:05 PM ET

Mets @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
48-38 Rating 1541
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.3
Astros
38-50 Rating 1489
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Astros
All-time wins 196 216
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.2
Last meeting 5 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Astros
Games played 86 88
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.0
Win percentage 56% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 51%