Final Score: Astros 3 - Nationals 4
Monday, July 16, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
39-53 Rating 1486
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Nationals
37-54 Rating 1455
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Nationals
All-time wins 226 177
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 3.8
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Nationals
Games played 92 91
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.8
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.0
Win percentage 42% 41%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 41%