Final Score: Marlins 11 - Phillies 5
Saturday, April 28, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
10-12 Rating 1497
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
10-12 Rating 1522
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 100 117
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 5.3
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 22 22
Avg runs scored 5.5 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.6 4.7
Win percentage 45% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 38% 45%