Final Score: Marlins 5 - Phillies 6
Friday, April 27, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
10-11 Rating 1498
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Phillies
9-12 Rating 1521
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Phillies
All-time wins 100 116
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 5.3
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Phillies
Games played 21 21
Avg runs scored 5.6 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.6 4.7
Win percentage 48% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 43% 40%