Final Score: Astros 4 - Phillies 11
Monday, April 23, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
9-8 Rating 1518
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.2
Phillies
6-11 Rating 1518
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Phillies
All-time wins 216 191
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Phillies
Games played 17 17
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.0
Win percentage 53% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 17%