Final Score: Nationals 6 - Marlins 5
Friday, April 20, 2007 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
5-11 Rating 1462
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.6
Marlins
6-9 Rating 1495
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Marlins
All-time wins 99 113
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Marlins
Games played 16 15
Avg runs scored 2.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 5.1 5.5
Win percentage 31% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 38%