Final Score: Phillies 7 - Marlins 5
Tuesday, May 2, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
11-14 Rating 1520
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Marlins
6-17 Rating 1489
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 104 93
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.7
Last meeting 8 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 25 23
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.4 5.1
Win percentage 44% 26%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 20%