Final Score: Phillies 8 - Marlins 5
Monday, May 1, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
10-14 Rating 1518
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.1
Marlins
6-16 Rating 1491
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 103 93
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.7
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 24 22
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.5 5.0
Win percentage 42% 27%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 22%