Final Score: Phillies 1 - Pirates 3
Friday, April 28, 2006 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
9-12 Rating 1520
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Pirates
5-18 Rating 1431
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 257 279
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 21 23
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.1
Avg runs conceded 5.9 5.8
Win percentage 43% 22%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 40%