Final Score: Phillies 5 - Pirates 1
Sunday, April 30, 2006 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
9-14 Rating 1516
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.5
Pirates
7-18 Rating 1436
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Pirates
All-time wins 257 281
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.5
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Pirates
Games played 23 25
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.0
Avg runs conceded 5.7 5.4
Win percentage 39% 28%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 50%