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Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 75% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Madrid 4–2 Ath Bilbao
Sat, May 23, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
26-5-6Rating 2059
Form: WWLWD
4 – 2
Model Probability
75%
Draw 15%
9%
La Liga
Ath Bilbao
13-6-18Rating 1833
Form: DLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAth Bilbao
37Games played37
2.0Avg goals scored1.1
0.9Avg goals conceded1.5
70% / 14% / 16%Win / Draw / Loss35% / 16% / 49%
83% Home win % / Away win % 22%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatAth Bilbao
24All-time wins (32 meetings, 6 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.2Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-12-03): Ath Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid