SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 54% chance to win.
Final Score: Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid
Sun, May 10, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Barcelona
29-1-4Rating 2096
Form: WWWWW
‹ Prev Next ›
2 – 0
Model Probability
54%
Draw 25%
21%
La Liga
Real Madrid
24-5-5Rating 2059
Form: WDWDL
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarcelonaStatReal Madrid
34Games played34
2.6Avg goals scored2.1
0.9Avg goals conceded0.9
85% / 3% / 12%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 15% / 15%
100% Home win % / Away win % 59%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
BarcelonaStatReal Madrid
15All-time wins (32 meetings, 5 draws)12
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
2.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-10-26): Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona

Recent Results

Barcelona

@ Osasuna
Sat, May 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
@ Getafe
Sat, Apr 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
vs Celta Vigo
Wed, Apr 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Espanyol
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
@ Atl. Madrid
Sat, Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Real Madrid

@ Espanyol
Sun, May 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Betis
Fri, Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
vs Alaves
Tue, Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Girona
Fri, Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Mallorca
Sat, Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2