SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 75% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves
Tue, Apr 21, 2026 · 8:30 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
22-4-5Rating 2059
Form: DLWWW
‹ Prev Next ›
2 – 1
Model Probability
75%
Draw 16%
10%
La Liga
Alaves
8-9-14Rating 1832
Form: DDWDL
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAlaves
31Games played31
2.1Avg goals scored1.1
0.9Avg goals conceded1.5
71% / 13% / 16%Win / Draw / Loss26% / 29% / 45%
81% Home win % / Away win % 19%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Real MadridStatAlaves
15All-time wins (17 meetings, 0 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.6Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-12-14): Alaves 1–2 Real Madrid

Recent Results

Real Madrid

vs Girona
Fri, Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Mallorca
Sat, Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
vs Atl. Madrid
Sun, Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
vs Elche
Sat, Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
@ Celta Vigo
Fri, Mar 6, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Alaves

@ Real Sociedad
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 6
3–3
vs Osasuna
Sun, Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
@ Celta Vigo
Sun, Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Villarreal
Fri, Mar 13, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Valencia
Sun, Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2–3