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← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Final Score: Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano
La Liga
Sun, Feb 1, 2026 · 1:00 PM GMT

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 75% chance to win.

Real Madrid
16-3-2 · Rating 2014
Form: WWWWW
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VS
Rayo Vallecano
5-7-9 · Rating 1834
Form: LLWDL
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Model Probability
75%
10%
Draw 16%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatRayo Vallecano
21Games played21
2.1Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.3
76% / 14% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss24% / 33% / 43%
90% Home win % / Away win % 27%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Real MadridStatRayo Vallecano
15All-time wins (21 meetings, 4 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (4 draws)0
2.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-11-09): Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid

Recent Results

Real Madrid

@ Villarreal
Sat, Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
vs Levante
Sat, Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
vs Betis
Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5–1
vs Sevilla
Sat, Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Alaves
Sun, Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1

Rayo Vallecano

vs Osasuna
Sat, Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Celta Vigo
Sun, Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0–3
vs Mallorca
Sun, Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Getafe
Fri, Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Elche
Sun, Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4