Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-31 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-12 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 69% | |
| 2026-02-01 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2025-11-09 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2025-03-09 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2024-12-14 | 3–3 | Draw | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2024-02-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2023-11-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2023-05-24 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2022-11-07 | 3–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Madrid 57% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2021-11-06 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 69% | |
| 2019-04-28 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2018-12-15 | 1–0 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2016-04-23 | 2–3 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 69% | |
| 2015-12-20 | 10–2 | Real Madrid +8 | Real Madrid 80% | |
| 2015-04-08 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2014-11-08 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 81% | |
| 2014-03-29 | 5–0 | Real Madrid +5 | Real Madrid 84% | |
| 2013-11-02 | 2–3 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2013-02-17 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2012-09-24 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2012-02-26 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2011-09-24 | 6–2 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 75% |