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Final Score: Atl. Madrid 1–0 Alaves
La Liga
Sun, Jan 18, 2026 · 3:15 PM GMT

Atl. Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Atl. Madrid has a 69% chance to win.

11-5-3 · Rating 1949
Form: DWWLL
VS
5-4-10 · Rating 1854
Form: LDLLW
Model Probability
69%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatAlaves
19Games played19
1.8Avg goals scored0.8
0.9Avg goals conceded1.3
58% / 26% / 16%Win / Draw / Loss26% / 21% / 53%
89% Home win % / Away win % 11%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatAlaves
10All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.5Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-08-30): Alaves 1–1 Atl. Madrid