Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-18 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 69% | |
| 2025-08-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 43% | |
| 2025-05-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 53% | |
| 2024-11-23 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 64% | |
| 2024-04-21 | 2–0 | Alaves +2 | Atl. Madrid 53% | |
| 2023-10-29 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 72% | |
| 2022-04-02 | 4–1 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 74% | |
| 2021-09-25 | 1–0 | Alaves +1 | Atl. Madrid 54% | |
| 2021-03-21 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 76% | |
| 2021-01-03 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 55% | |
| 2020-06-27 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 69% | |
| 2019-10-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 48% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 0–4 | Atl. Madrid +4 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 62% | |
| 2018-04-29 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 52% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 73% | |
| 2017-01-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 53% | |
| 2016-08-21 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 73% |