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Serie A
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 59% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
VS
2-0-3 · Rating 1711
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lecce

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.2%1.5%22.1%
If Win <1%2.1%1.8%15.9%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.3%21.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%25.3%

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.2%15.5%8.2%2.9%
If Win 1.2%15.9%9.1%1.9%
If Draw <1%12.6%7.9%2.5%
If Lose <1%11.8%6.6%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AtalantaStatLecce
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.0
1.4Avg goals conceded2.0
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 0% / 60%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AtalantaStatLecce
8All-time wins (12 meetings, 2 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.4Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Lecce 0–3 Atalanta