Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-06 | 0–3 | Atalanta +3 | Atalanta 54% | |
| 2025-09-14 | 4–1 | Atalanta +3 | Atalanta 66% | |
| 2025-04-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 79% | |
| 2024-08-19 | 0–4 | Atalanta +4 | Atalanta 51% | |
| 2024-05-18 | 0–2 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 60% | |
| 2023-12-30 | 1–0 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 61% | |
| 2023-02-19 | 1–2 | Lecce +1 | Atalanta 65% | |
| 2022-11-09 | 2–1 | Lecce +1 | Atalanta 50% | |
| 2020-03-01 | 2–7 | Atalanta +5 | Atalanta 60% | |
| 2019-10-06 | 3–1 | Atalanta +2 | Atalanta 67% | |
| 2012-02-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Atalanta 51% | |
| 2011-09-21 | 1–2 | Atalanta +1 | Lecce 45% |