Serie A Season Outlook
| # | Team | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
51.2% | 91.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | <1% |
| 2 |  AS Roma |
25.0% | 78.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | <1% |
| 3 |  Juventus |
6.5% | 46.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | <1% |
| 4 |  AC Milan |
5.7% | 44.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | <1% |
| 5 |  Lazio |
3.4% | 31.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | <1% |
| 6 |  Napoli |
3.0% | 30.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | <1% |
| 7 |  Como |
2.6% | 25.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 1.0% |
| 8 |  Atalanta |
1.0% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| 9 |  Cagliari |
<1% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| 10 |  Frosinone |
<1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
<1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 10.4% |
| 12 |  Udinese |
<1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 17.0% |
| 13 |  Bologna |
<1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 18.8% |
| 14 |  Fiorentina |
<1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 19.9% |
| 15 |  Lecce |
<1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 23.3% |
| 16 |  Torino |
<1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 22.9% |
| 17 |  Monza |
<1% | <1% | <1% | 1.4% | 30.8% |
| 18 |  Parma |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 32.6% |
| 19 |  Genoa |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 46.0% |
| 20 |  Venezia |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 65.8% |
Exact Finishing Position Probability
Chance of finishing in each exact table position, 1st to 20th, from the same 10,000 simulations. Darker cells are more likely.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter |
51.2 | 23.5 | 10.8 | 6.0 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| AS Roma |
25.0 | 26.3 | 16.5 | 10.7 | 7.1 | 4.7 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Juventus |
6.5 | 11.8 | 14.4 | 13.7 | 11.8 | 9.9 | 8.7 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| AC Milan |
5.7 | 11.6 | 13.9 | 13.1 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Lazio |
3.4 | 6.9 | 9.9 | 11.6 | 11.7 | 10.7 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 6.7 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Napoli |
3.0 | 6.6 | 9.9 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Como |
2.6 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 9.5 | 10.4 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Atalanta |
1.0 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 9.2 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 8.6 | 8.1 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | <1 | <1 |
| Cagliari |
<1 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 8.0 | 6.7 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 | <1 | <1 |
| Frosinone |
<1 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 2.6 | 1.6 | <1 |
| Sassuolo |
<1 | <1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 7.7 | 7.9 | 8.5 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.4 | 7.7 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Udinese |
<1 | <1 | <1 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 7.4 | 7.5 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 7.9 | 7.3 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| Bologna |
<1 | <1 | <1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 4.8 |
| Fiorentina |
<1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 8.0 | 7.9 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.1 | 4.8 |
| Lecce |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 5.2 | 6.1 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 8.4 | 9.4 | 9.1 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 5.2 |
| Torino |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 7.9 | 8.8 | 8.9 | 9.2 | 9.4 | 8.9 | 8.3 | 5.7 |
| Monza |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 9.1 | 9.8 | 10.4 | 10.6 | 11.0 | 9.1 |
| Parma |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 9.0 | 9.4 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 11.5 | 10.1 |
| Genoa |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 11.0 | 13.1 | 16.0 | 16.9 |
| Venezia |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 4.9 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.4 | 17.7 | 35.6 |