Serie A Season Outlook
| # | Team | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
46.6% | 92.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | <1% |
| 2 |  AS Roma |
23.8% | 81.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | <1% |
| 3 |  Lazio |
15.2% | 70.9% | 11.5% | 7.6% | <1% |
| 4 |  Como |
9.2% | 63.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% | <1% |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
2.7% | 34.4% | 16.5% | 15.1% | <1% |
| 6 |  Juventus |
1.5% | 24.3% | 15.0% | 15.6% | <1% |
| 7 |  Napoli |
<1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 13.8% | <1% |
| 8 |  Frosinone |
<1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | <1% |
| 9 |  Bologna |
<1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| 10 |  Atalanta |
<1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.9% |
| 11 |  Genoa |
<1% | <1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 7.1% |
| 12 |  Torino |
<1% | <1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 7.3% |
| 13 |  Cagliari |
<1% | <1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 7.9% |
| 14 |  Fiorentina |
<1% | <1% | <1% | 1.2% | 18.6% |
| 15 |  Parma |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 30.8% |
| 16 |  Sassuolo |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 32.7% |
| 17 |  Lecce |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 33.6% |
| 18 |  Monza |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 37.1% |
| 19 |  Udinese |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 46.2% |
| 20 |  Venezia |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 69.4% |
Exact Finishing Position Probability
Chance of finishing in each exact table position, 1st to 20th, from the same 10,000 simulations. Darker cells are more likely.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter |
46.6 | 24.4 | 13.5 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| AS Roma |
23.8 | 25.7 | 19.4 | 12.9 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1.4 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Lazio |
15.2 | 19.1 | 20.0 | 16.6 | 11.5 | 7.6 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Como |
9.2 | 16.1 | 19.8 | 18.1 | 13.6 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| AC Milan |
2.7 | 6.6 | 10.8 | 14.4 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 11.9 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Juventus |
1.5 | 4.1 | 7.4 | 11.4 | 15.0 | 15.6 | 14.7 | 10.4 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Napoli |
<1 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 7.3 | 10.8 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 13.6 | 10.6 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Frosinone |
<1 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 11.2 | 14.3 | 13.7 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Bologna |
<1 | <1 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 5.5 | 7.7 | 10.2 | 12.2 | 13.4 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | <1 | <1 | <1 |
| Atalanta |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 8.7 | 10.2 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 9.7 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Genoa |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 10.2 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.2 | 9.4 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Torino |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 9.3 | 11.4 | 10.7 | 10.4 | 9.3 | 8.0 | 6.9 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Cagliari |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.8 | 5.7 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 10.6 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 8.3 | 6.8 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Fiorentina |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 9.5 | 10.1 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 8.9 | 8.1 | 6.4 | 4.1 |
| Parma |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 9.6 | 10.4 | 12.0 | 11.6 | 10.9 | 8.3 |
| Sassuolo |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 6.1 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 9.2 |
| Lecce |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 9.9 | 11.3 | 11.2 | 12.7 | 12.6 | 8.2 |
| Monza |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 9.7 | 11.3 | 12.4 | 12.8 | 13.3 | 10.9 |
| Udinese |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 6.2 | 8.3 | 9.7 | 12.0 | 14.2 | 16.0 | 16.1 |
| Venezia |
<1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 12.1 | 18.8 | 38.5 |