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Serie A
Sun, Mar 21, 2027 · 5:30 PM GMT

Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 40% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.6%44.1%12.2%<1%
If Win 8.4%52.3%11.5%<1%
If Draw 6.3%44.5%11.7%<1%
If Lose 3.9%37.4%12.8%<1%

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.0%16.5%7.7%2.6%
If Win 2.0%20.1%8.9%1.4%
If Draw <1%14.5%7.1%2.1%
If Lose <1%11.1%7.3%2.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AtalantaStatAC Milan
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored2.0
1.4Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AtalantaStatAC Milan
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 9 draws)11
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.2Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-05-10): AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta