Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-18 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-10 | 2–3 | Atalanta +1 | AC Milan 46% | |
| 2025-10-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 43% | |
| 2025-04-20 | 0–1 | Atalanta +1 | AC Milan 38% | |
| 2024-12-06 | 2–1 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 55% | |
| 2024-02-25 | 1–1 | Draw | AC Milan 44% | |
| 2023-12-09 | 3–2 | Atalanta +1 | Atalanta 38% | |
| 2023-02-26 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 48% | |
| 2022-08-21 | 1–1 | Draw | AC Milan 37% | |
| 2022-05-15 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 52% | |
| 2021-10-03 | 2–3 | AC Milan +1 | Atalanta 46% | |
| 2021-05-23 | 0–2 | AC Milan +2 | Atalanta 53% | |
| 2021-01-23 | 0–3 | Atalanta +3 | AC Milan 44% | |
| 2020-07-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 37% | |
| 2019-12-22 | 5–0 | Atalanta +5 | Atalanta 54% | |
| 2019-02-16 | 1–3 | AC Milan +2 | Atalanta 49% | |
| 2018-09-23 | 2–2 | Draw | AC Milan 46% | |
| 2018-05-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 50% | |
| 2017-12-23 | 0–2 | Atalanta +2 | AC Milan 38% | |
| 2017-05-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Atalanta 49% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 0–0 | Draw | AC Milan 50% | |
| 2016-04-03 | 2–1 | Atalanta +1 | AC Milan 44% | |
| 2015-11-07 | 0–0 | Draw | AC Milan 52% | |
| 2015-05-30 | 1–3 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 38% | |
| 2015-01-18 | 0–1 | Atalanta +1 | AC Milan 59% | |
| 2014-05-11 | 2–1 | Atalanta +1 | AC Milan 42% | |
| 2014-01-06 | 3–0 | AC Milan +3 | AC Milan 60% | |
| 2013-01-27 | 0–1 | AC Milan +1 | AC Milan 50% | |
| 2012-09-15 | 0–1 | Atalanta +1 | AC Milan 65% | |
| 2012-05-02 | 2–0 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 68% | |
| 2012-01-08 | 0–2 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 49% | |
| 2010-02-28 | 3–1 | AC Milan +2 | AC Milan 53% |