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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 61% chance to win.
Serie A
Tue, Jan 5, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Serie A
AC Milan
6-3-1Rating 1850
Form: WLWWD
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
Serie A
Fiorentina
2-2-6Rating 1734
Form: WDLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%19.7%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%10.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%14.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.1%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.4%42.2%17.2%<1%
If Win 5.2%47.6%16.5%<1%
If Draw 2.7%36.5%18.6%<1%
If Lose 1.5%28.6%17.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatFiorentina
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded2.3
60% / 30% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatFiorentina
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-11): Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan