← Home / Italy / Serie A / Matches / AC Milan vs Atalanta
Serie A
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 5:00 PM BST

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 48% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
48%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.6%8.5%2.3%
If Win 2.2%24.6%9.5%1.0%
If Draw 1.0%15.8%7.8%2.1%
If Lose <1%11.1%6.4%3.5%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 6.0%43.7%11.7%<1%
If Win 8.6%54.1%11.3%<1%
If Draw 4.8%40.0%12.1%<1%
If Lose 3.3%33.1%12.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatAtalanta
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.0
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 0% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatAtalanta
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 9 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-10): AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta