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Serie A
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 40% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%30.6%10.1%<1%
If Win 4.2%38.5%12.1%<1%
If Draw 2.4%30.0%10.9%<1%
If Lose 2.1%23.5%11.1%1.2%

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.1%14.7%8.1%2.7%
If Win 1.4%21.3%9.7%1.4%
If Draw <1%14.3%7.2%2.5%
If Lose <1%10.0%6.2%3.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AtalantaStatNapoli
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.4
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AtalantaStatNapoli
12All-time wins (32 meetings, 4 draws)16
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Atalanta 2–1 Napoli