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Serie A
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 44% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
Model Probability
44%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.8%44.1%12.6%<1%
If Win 9.2%55.2%12.6%<1%
If Draw 5.5%45.0%12.3%<1%
If Lose 3.6%36.0%12.0%<1%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.3%30.8%11.0%<1%
If Win 4.1%36.9%11.3%<1%
If Draw 1.9%27.2%10.3%<1%
If Lose 1.7%21.1%9.6%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatAC Milan
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatAC Milan
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Napoli 1–0 AC Milan