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Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 39% chance to win.
Serie A
Mon, Nov 30, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Serie A
Lecce
3-0-7Rating 1693
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
33%
Draw 28%
39%
Serie A
Atalanta
3-2-5Rating 1774
Form: LDDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.4%2.2%5.0%
If Win <1%2.0%2.6%2.9%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.6%6.4%
If Lose <1%<1%1.1%9.7%

Lecce

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%34.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%22.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%42.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LecceStatAtalanta
10Games played10
1.1Avg goals scored1.6
2.1Avg goals conceded2.0
30% / 0% / 70%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 20% / 50%
20% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LecceStatAtalanta
2All-time wins (12 meetings, 2 draws)8
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.8Average goals2.4
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Lecce 0–3 Atalanta