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Serie A
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 5:00 PM BST

Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 37% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1894
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AS Roma

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 24.3%77.6%7.8%<1%
If Win 34.5%86.2%5.1%<1%
If Draw 22.8%77.2%7.5%<1%
If Lose 18.8%70.5%9.5%<1%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.8%29.4%11.3%<1%
If Win 3.7%39.0%12.1%<1%
If Draw 2.9%28.5%11.3%<1%
If Lose 1.0%21.3%10.6%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatAS Roma
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.8
1.2Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatAS Roma
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-15): Napoli 2–2 AS Roma