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Serie A
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 7:45 PM BST

AS Roma vs Genoa Prediction & Win Probability

AS Roma has a 70% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1894
Form: DWWWW
VS
0-1-4 · Rating 1706
Form: LDLLL
Model Probability
70%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Genoa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%46.5%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%30.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%41.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%47.2%

AS Roma

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 24.6%78.3%6.0%<1%
If Win 26.8%80.6%7.1%<1%
If Draw 19.2%70.8%8.4%<1%
If Lose 15.0%65.6%10.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AS RomaStatGenoa
5Games played5
2.8Avg goals scored0.6
0.6Avg goals conceded2.0
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 20% / 80%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AS RomaStatGenoa
21All-time wins (31 meetings, 5 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-08): Genoa 2–1 AS Roma