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Bundesliga
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Hamburger SV vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 48% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
26%
48%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.0%50.7%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.6%54.4%13.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%46.1%13.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.1%41.8%13.8%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.0%26.8%14.8%
If Win <1%1.0%1.5%22.0%10.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.4%14.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.4%16.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatFreiburg
4Games played4
0.5Avg goals scored3.0
3.2Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatFreiburg
5All-time wins (17 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Hamburger SV 3–2 Freiburg