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Bundesliga
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 69% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
Model Probability
69%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%26.2%14.7%
If Win <1%1.9%1.3%22.3%9.1%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.0%27.1%12.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.1%16.1%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.2%56.7%13.2%<1%<1%
If Win 2.2%59.3%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.2%52.0%13.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%48.8%13.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatHamburger SV
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored0.5
1.2Avg goals conceded3.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatHamburger SV
11All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.9Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Hamburger SV