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Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 38% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-0-2 · Rating 1813
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%25.0%13.3%1.2%<1%
If Win <1%32.5%14.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%25.3%12.8%1.6%<1%
If Lose <1%21.1%13.0%1.9%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.6%8.7%4.1%<1%
If Win <1%18.0%10.9%2.1%<1%
If Draw <1%11.1%8.2%3.6%<1%
If Lose <1%10.1%7.0%4.9%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatRB Leipzig
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.2
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 0% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatRB Leipzig
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-01-31): RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz