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Freiburg vs Augsburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 56% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
5-1-2Rating 1819
Form: WLLWD
vs
Model Probability
56%
Draw 24%
20%
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-3Rating 1740
Form: LDLDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.3%4.0%9.9%2.4%
If Win <1%6.4%6.3%5.6%<1%
If Draw <1%3.9%4.5%8.6%1.5%
If Lose <1%2.2%2.4%12.1%2.2%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%50.3%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%53.3%14.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.2%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.3%14.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatAugsburg
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored2.2
1.2Avg goals conceded1.9
62% / 12% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 38% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatAugsburg
14All-time wins (29 meetings, 9 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Augsburg 1–2 Freiburg